1. **State the problem:** We are given data points for the value of an investment $x$ and the number of years $y$ it took to reach that value. We want to find the logarithmic regression equation of the form $$y = a + b \ln x$$ and then use it to find how many complete years it will take for the investment to double from $1000$ to $2000$.
2. **Set up the regression equation:** The model is $$y = a + b \ln x$$ where $y$ is the number of years and $x$ is the investment value.
3. **Calculate $\ln x$ for each $x$ value:**
$$\ln 1082 \approx 6.985$$
$$\ln 1170 \approx 7.064$$
$$\ln 1265 \approx 7.143$$
$$\ln 1369 \approx 7.222$$
$$\ln 1480 \approx 7.301$$
4. **Use the points $(\ln x, y)$ to find $a$ and $b$ by linear regression:**
We have points:
$$(6.985, 2), (7.064, 4), (7.143, 6), (7.222, 8), (7.301, 10)$$
Calculate means:
$$\bar{X} = \frac{6.985 + 7.064 + 7.143 + 7.222 + 7.301}{5} = 7.143$$
$$\bar{Y} = \frac{2 + 4 + 6 + 8 + 10}{5} = 6$$
Calculate slope $b$:
$$b = \frac{\sum (X_i - \bar{X})(Y_i - \bar{Y})}{\sum (X_i - \bar{X})^2}$$
Calculate numerator:
$$(6.985 - 7.143)(2 - 6) + (7.064 - 7.143)(4 - 6) + (7.143 - 7.143)(6 - 6) + (7.222 - 7.143)(8 - 6) + (7.301 - 7.143)(10 - 6)$$
$$= (-0.158)(-4) + (-0.079)(-2) + 0 + 0.079(2) + 0.158(4)$$
$$= 0.632 + 0.158 + 0 + 0.158 + 0.632 = 1.58$$
Calculate denominator:
$$(6.985 - 7.143)^2 + (7.064 - 7.143)^2 + (7.143 - 7.143)^2 + (7.222 - 7.143)^2 + (7.301 - 7.143)^2$$
$$= 0.025 + 0.006 + 0 + 0.006 + 0.025 = 0.062$$
So,
$$b = \frac{1.58}{0.062} = 25.48$$
5. **Calculate intercept $a$:**
$$a = \bar{Y} - b \bar{X} = 6 - 25.48 \times 7.143 = 6 - 182.0 = -176.0$$
6. **Write the regression equation:**
$$y = -176.0 + 25.48 \ln x$$
7. **Find the number of years to double the investment to $2000$:**
Substitute $x=2000$:
$$y = -176.0 + 25.48 \ln 2000$$
Calculate $\ln 2000$:
$$\ln 2000 \approx 7.601$$
So,
$$y = -176.0 + 25.48 \times 7.601 = -176.0 + 193.6 = 17.6$$
8. **Interpretation:** It will take approximately 17 complete years for the investment to double in value.
**Final answer:**
$$\boxed{y = -176.0 + 25.48 \ln x}$$
$$\text{Years to double investment} = 17$$
Logarithmic Regression 731694
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