1. **Problem statement:**
We are given exponential growth and decay rates for human and black bear populations in Florida from 1953 to 1993.
(a) Find the human population in 1953 given it grew 8% per year to reach 13 million in 1993.
(b) Find the black bear population in 1993 given it decreased 6% per year from 11,000 in 1953.
(c) Find the year when the black bear population would fall below 110 if the trend continued.
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2. **Formulas and rules:**
Exponential growth/decay is modeled by:
$$ P(t) = P_0 (1 + r)^t $$
where $P_0$ is the initial population, $r$ is the growth rate (positive for growth, negative for decay), and $t$ is the number of years.
For decay, $r$ is negative, so $1 + r < 1$.
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3. **Part (a) - Human population in 1953:**
Given:
- $P(40) = 13,000,000$ (population in 1993, 40 years after 1953)
- Growth rate $r = 0.08$
Use formula:
$$ 13,000,000 = P_0 (1 + 0.08)^{40} = P_0 (1.08)^{40} $$
Calculate $(1.08)^{40}$:
$$ (1.08)^{40} \approx 21.7245 $$
Solve for $P_0$:
$$ P_0 = \frac{13,000,000}{21.7245} $$
Intermediate step with cancellation:
$$ P_0 = \frac{13,000,000}{\cancel{21.7245}} $$
Calculate:
$$ P_0 \approx 598,500 $$
Rounded to nearest whole person:
$$ \boxed{598500} $$
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4. **Part (b) - Black bear population in 1993:**
Given:
- Initial population $P_0 = 11,000$
- Decay rate $r = -0.06$
- Time $t = 40$
Use formula:
$$ P(40) = 11,000 (1 - 0.06)^{40} = 11,000 (0.94)^{40} $$
Calculate $(0.94)^{40}$:
$$ (0.94)^{40} \approx 0.0972 $$
Calculate population:
$$ P(40) = 11,000 \times 0.0972 = 1069.2 $$
Rounded to nearest whole bear:
$$ \boxed{1069} $$
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5. **Part (c) - Year when black bear population < 110:**
We want $t$ such that:
$$ 11,000 (0.94)^t < 110 $$
Divide both sides by 11,000:
$$ (0.94)^t < \frac{110}{11,000} = 0.01 $$
Take natural logarithm:
$$ \ln((0.94)^t) < \ln(0.01) $$
$$ t \ln(0.94) < \ln(0.01) $$
Since $\ln(0.94) < 0$, dividing reverses inequality:
$$ t > \frac{\ln(0.01)}{\ln(0.94)} $$
Calculate:
$$ \ln(0.01) \approx -4.6052 $$
$$ \ln(0.94) \approx -0.0619 $$
Calculate $t$:
$$ t > \frac{-4.6052}{-0.0619} \approx 74.4 $$
Since $t$ is years after 1953, the year is:
$$ 1953 + 75 = 2028 $$
Rounded to nearest whole year:
$$ \boxed{2028} $$
Population Change F8Ea40
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