1. **State the problem:** We need to predict the population of a city after 50 years given the current population and an annual decrease rate.
2. **Given data:**
- Initial population $P_0 = 954000$
- Annual decrease rate $r = 0.1\% = 0.001$
- Time $t = 50$ years
3. **Formula for exponential decay:**
$$P(t) = P_0 (1 - r)^t$$
This formula is used because the population decreases by a fixed percentage each year.
4. **Substitute the values:**
$$P(50) = 954000 \times (1 - 0.001)^{50} = 954000 \times (0.999)^{50}$$
5. **Calculate the decay factor:**
$$ (0.999)^{50} = e^{50 \ln(0.999)} $$
Using approximation:
$$ \ln(0.999) \approx -0.0010005 $$
So,
$$ e^{50 \times (-0.0010005)} = e^{-0.050025} \approx 0.9512 $$
6. **Calculate the population after 50 years:**
$$ P(50) = 954000 \times 0.9512 = 907,450.8 $$
7. **Final answer:**
The predicted population after 50 years is approximately **907,450**.
This matches option D.
Population Decrease D1Aa11
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