1. **State the problem:** We have data points $(20, 57.5)$, $(33, 34.8)$, and $(42, 27.4)$ and want to extrapolate $y$ at $x=49$ assuming the model $y = Ax^p$.
2. **Formula and approach:** The power model is $y = Ax^p$. Taking logarithms on both sides gives:
$$\ln y = \ln A + p \ln x$$
This is a linear relation in terms of $\ln y$ and $\ln x$.
3. **Calculate $\ln x$ and $\ln y$ for given points:**
$$\ln 20 \approx 2.9957, \quad \ln 57.5 \approx 4.0510$$
$$\ln 33 \approx 3.4965, \quad \ln 34.8 \approx 3.5492$$
$$\ln 42 \approx 3.7377, \quad \ln 27.4 \approx 3.3112$$
4. **Fit a line $\ln y = p \ln x + \ln A$ using two points (20,57.5) and (33,34.8):**
Calculate slope $p$:
$$p = \frac{3.5492 - 4.0510}{3.4965 - 2.9957} = \frac{-0.5018}{0.5008} \approx -1.002$$
5. **Calculate intercept $\ln A$ using point $(20,57.5)$:**
$$4.0510 = \ln A + (-1.002)(2.9957)$$
$$\ln A = 4.0510 + 3.001 = 7.052$$
6. **Rewrite model:**
$$y = e^{7.052} x^{-1.002}$$
Calculate $A$:
$$A = e^{7.052} \approx 1157.5$$
7. **Extrapolate $y$ at $x=49$:**
$$y = 1157.5 \times 49^{-1.002}$$
Calculate $49^{-1.002}$:
$$49^{-1.002} = \frac{1}{49^{1.002}} \approx \frac{1}{49.3} = 0.02028$$
So,
$$y \approx 1157.5 \times 0.02028 = 23.47$$
**Final answer:**
$$\boxed{y \approx 23.5}$$
Power Extrapolation 1F70A3
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