1. **State the problem:** We are given data relating orbital speed $x$ (km/s) and distance from the sun $y$ (millions of km). We need to find a power regression equation of the form $$y = a x^b$$ rounded to the nearest ten-thousandth.
2. **Power regression formula:** The power regression model is $$y = a x^b$$ where $a$ and $b$ are constants found by fitting the data.
3. **Data points:**
- $(6.565, 86958695)$
- $(12.7127, 42834283)$
- $(17.7177, 37773777)$
- $(24.3243, 24682468)$
- $(27.7277, 24772477)$
- $(30.8308, 23582358)$
4. **Convert to linear form:** Taking natural logs,
$$\ln y = \ln a + b \ln x$$
We perform linear regression on $(\ln x, \ln y)$ to find $\ln a$ and $b$.
5. **Calculate $\ln x$ and $\ln y$ for each point:**
- $\ln 6.565 \approx 1.882$, $\ln 86958695 \approx 18.280$
- $\ln 12.7127 \approx 2.544$, $\ln 42834283 \approx 17.570$
- $\ln 17.7177 \approx 2.875$, $\ln 37773777 \approx 17.447$
- $\ln 24.3243 \approx 3.192$, $\ln 24682468 \approx 17.023$
- $\ln 27.7277 \approx 3.321$, $\ln 24772477 \approx 17.027$
- $\ln 30.8308 \approx 3.429$, $\ln 23582358 \approx 16.976$
6. **Perform linear regression:** Using least squares,
- Calculate means: $\overline{\ln x} \approx 2.873$, $\overline{\ln y} \approx 17.055$
- Calculate slope $b = \frac{\sum (\ln x_i - \overline{\ln x})(\ln y_i - \overline{\ln y})}{\sum (\ln x_i - \overline{\ln x})^2} \approx -1.4963$
- Calculate intercept $\ln a = \overline{\ln y} - b \overline{\ln x} \approx 21.3623$
7. **Rewrite regression equation:**
$$y = e^{21.3623} x^{-1.4963}$$
Calculate $a = e^{21.3623} \approx 1.9 \times 10^{9}$ (rounded to nearest ten-thousandth: 1900000000)
8. **Final regression equation:**
$$y = 1900000000 \cdot x^{-1.4963}$$
9. **Find orbital speed for $y=1256$ million km:**
Solve for $x$:
$$1256 = 1900000000 \cdot x^{-1.4963}$$
$$x^{-1.4963} = \frac{1256}{1900000000} \approx 6.61 \times 10^{-7}$$
$$x = \left(6.61 \times 10^{-7}\right)^{-\frac{1}{1.4963}}$$
Calculate exponent:
$$-\frac{1}{1.4963} \approx -0.668$$
So,
$$x = (6.61 \times 10^{-7})^{-0.668} \approx 123.7$$
10. **Answer:** The orbital speed of an asteroid 1256 million km from the sun is approximately **123.7 km/s**.
Power Regression 16D5B4
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