1. **Problem Statement:**
We have two projects with different possible firm market values in two years and a debt face value of 20 million payable in two years.
2. **Given:**
- Project 1 outcomes: 50 million or 0
- Project 2 outcomes: 25 million or 15 million
- Debt face value: 20 million
3. **Formulas and Rules:**
- Bondholders get the minimum of the firm's market value and the debt face value because they are paid first.
- Shareholders get the residual value after bondholders are paid, i.e., $\text{Shareholders payoff} = \max(0, \text{Firm value} - \text{Debt})$.
4. **Calculations:**
**a. Payoffs to bondholders:**
- Project 1:
- If firm value = 50, bondholders get $\min(50, 20) = 20$
- If firm value = 0, bondholders get $\min(0, 20) = 0$
- Project 2:
- If firm value = 25, bondholders get $\min(25, 20) = 20$
- If firm value = 15, bondholders get $\min(15, 20) = 15$
**b. Payoffs to shareholders:**
- Project 1:
- If firm value = 50, shareholders get $\max(0, 50 - 20) = 30$
- If firm value = 0, shareholders get $\max(0, 0 - 20) = 0$
- Project 2:
- If firm value = 25, shareholders get $\max(0, 25 - 20) = 5$
- If firm value = 15, shareholders get $\max(0, 15 - 20) = 0$
**c. Preferences:**
- Shareholders favor Project 1 because it offers a higher potential payoff (up to 30) despite the risk of getting nothing.
- Bondholders favor Project 2 because it offers more certainty and a higher minimum payoff (at least 15).
**Final answers:**
- Bondholders payoffs:
- Project 1: 20 or 0
- Project 2: 20 or 15
- Shareholders payoffs:
- Project 1: 30 or 0
- Project 2: 5 or 0
- Shareholders prefer Project 1; Bondholders prefer Project 2.
Payoffs Shareholders Bondholders 7B6276
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