1. **Problem Statement:**
We have two binomial probability problems involving quizzes where a student guesses answers.
2. **Binomial Probability Formula:**
The probability of exactly $k$ successes in $n$ trials is given by:
$$P(X=k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}$$
where $p$ is the probability of success on a single trial.
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### Problem 9: True/False Quiz (4 questions)
3. **a. Tree Diagram Probabilities:**
Each question has 2 outcomes: Correct (C) or Wrong (W).
Probability of Correct $p=\frac{1}{2}$, Wrong $1-p=\frac{1}{2}$.
The tree has $2^4=16$ outcomes, each with probability $\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^4=\frac{1}{16}$.
4. **b. Probability of EXACTLY 75% Correct (3 out of 4):**
Number of ways to get exactly 3 correct answers:
$$\binom{4}{3} = 4$$
Probability:
$$P(X=3) = 4 \times \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3 \times \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^1 = 4 \times \frac{1}{8} \times \frac{1}{2} = 4 \times \frac{1}{16} = \frac{4}{16} = \frac{1}{4}$$
5. **c. Using combinations or calculator:**
Same as above, using formula:
$$P(X=3) = \binom{4}{3} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3 \left(1-\frac{1}{2}\right)^{1} = \frac{1}{4}$$
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### Problem 10: Multiple Choice Quiz (4 questions, 4 choices each)
6. **a. Tree Diagram Probabilities:**
Each question has 2 outcomes: Correct (C) or Wrong (W).
Probability of Correct $p=\frac{1}{4}$, Wrong $1-p=\frac{3}{4}$.
The tree has $2^4=16$ outcomes, each with probability $p^k (1-p)^{4-k}$ depending on number of correct answers $k$.
7. **b. Probability of EXACTLY 50% Correct (2 out of 4):**
Number of ways:
$$\binom{4}{2} = 6$$
Probability:
$$P(X=2) = 6 \times \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^2 \times \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^2 = 6 \times \frac{1}{16} \times \frac{9}{16} = 6 \times \frac{9}{256} = \frac{54}{256} = \frac{27}{128} \approx 0.2109$$
8. **c. Probability of EXACTLY 0% Correct (0 out of 4):**
Number of ways:
$$\binom{4}{0} = 1$$
Probability:
$$P(X=0) = 1 \times \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^0 \times \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^4 = 1 \times 1 \times \left(\frac{81}{256}\right) = \frac{81}{256} \approx 0.3164$$
Binomial Probabilities 706F7D
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