1. **Problem Statement:**
We are given a binomial probability scenario where a surgical technique has a 70% chance of success per patient, and it is performed on 7 patients. We want to find:
a. Probability exactly 5 patients succeed.
b. Probability fewer than 5 patients succeed.
c. Probability at least 3 patients succeed.
2. **Formula and Explanation:**
The binomial probability formula is:
$$P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}$$
where:
- $n$ = number of trials (patients), here 7
- $k$ = number of successes
- $p$ = probability of success, here 0.7
- $\binom{n}{k}$ = combination of $n$ choose $k$
3. **Calculations:**
**a. Exactly 5 successes:**
$$P(X=5) = \binom{7}{5} (0.7)^5 (0.3)^2$$
Calculate $\binom{7}{5} = \frac{7!}{5!2!} = 21$
$$P(X=5) = 21 \times (0.7)^5 \times (0.3)^2$$
**b. Less than 5 successes:**
$$P(X \leq 4) = \sum_{k=0}^4 P(X=k)$$
Calculate each term using the binomial formula and sum.
**c. At least 3 successes:**
$$P(X \geq 3) = 1 - P(X \leq 2) = 1 - \sum_{k=0}^2 P(X=k)$$
4. **Second Problem:**
A manufacturer sells fix-a-flat with 78% success rate. There are 18 tires.
Find:
**a. Probability all 18 tires are repaired:**
$$P(X=18) = \binom{18}{18} (0.78)^{18} (0.22)^0 = (0.78)^{18}$$
**b. Probability exactly 10 tires are repaired:**
$$P(X=10) = \binom{18}{10} (0.78)^{10} (0.22)^8$$
**c. Probability at least 12 tires are repaired:**
$$P(X \geq 12) = 1 - P(X \leq 11) = 1 - \sum_{k=0}^{11} P(X=k)$$
5. **Explanation:**
- Use binomial coefficients to find combinations.
- Raise success and failure probabilities to appropriate powers.
- Sum probabilities for cumulative cases.
- Use complement rule for "at least" probabilities.
6. **Final answers:**
Exact numeric values require calculation or software.
Binomial Probabilities 9Ec414
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