1. **Problem statement:**
A biased tetrahedral die with faces 0, 1, 2, 3 has probabilities $P(X=0)=\frac{1}{6}$, $P(X=1)=\frac{1}{6}$, $P(X=2)=\frac{1}{6}$, and $P(X=3)=\frac{1}{2}$. The final score $T$ is defined as:
- If $X=3$, then $T=3$.
- If $X \neq 3$, roll again and $T$ is the sum of the two rolls.
We need to find $P(T=2)$.
2. **Formula and rules:**
- Total probability rule.
- Conditional probability.
- Since $T$ depends on whether $X=3$ or not, split cases.
3. **Calculate $P(T=2)$:**
- If $T=2$ and $X=3$, then $T=3$ always, so no contribution.
- If $X \neq 3$, then $T = X + Y$ where $Y$ is the second roll independent with same distribution.
So,
$$P(T=2) = P(X \neq 3) \times P(X + Y = 2 \mid X \neq 3)$$
Since $P(X \neq 3) = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2}$.
4. **Find $P(X + Y = 2 \mid X \neq 3)$:**
Possible $X$ values are 0,1,2 each with probability $\frac{1}{6}$, but conditional on $X \neq 3$, their conditional probabilities are:
$$P(X=x \mid X \neq 3) = \frac{P(X=x)}{P(X \neq 3)} = \frac{\frac{1}{6}}{\frac{1}{2}} = \frac{1}{3}$$
for $x=0,1,2$.
5. **Calculate $P(X+Y=2 \mid X \neq 3)$:**
$$= \sum_{x=0}^2 P(X=x \mid X \neq 3) P(Y=2 - x)$$
Recall $P(Y=y) = P(X=y)$ since rolls are identical.
Calculate each term:
- For $x=0$: $P(X=0 \mid X \neq 3) = \frac{1}{3}$, $P(Y=2) = \frac{1}{6}$
- For $x=1$: $P(X=1 \mid X \neq 3) = \frac{1}{3}$, $P(Y=1) = \frac{1}{6}$
- For $x=2$: $P(X=2 \mid X \neq 3) = \frac{1}{3}$, $P(Y=0) = \frac{1}{6}$
Sum:
$$\frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{6} + \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{6} + \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{6} = 3 \times \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{6} = \frac{1}{6}$$
6. **Final probability:**
$$P(T=2) = \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{6} = \frac{1}{12}$$
**Answer:**
$$\boxed{\frac{1}{12}}$$
Final Score Probability A81Fda
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