1. **State the problem:** We have a lottery machine that outputs digits 0 through 9 with equal probability if fair. We tested it 200 times and recorded the frequency of each digit. We want to find:
(a) The theoretical probability of getting a 0 or 5 assuming fairness.
(b) The experimental probability of getting a 0 or 5 from the data.
(c) Choose the true statement about the relationship between number of trials and closeness of experimental to theoretical probability.
2. **Formula and rules:**
- Theoretical probability for an event = \frac{Number\ of\ favorable\ outcomes}{Total\ possible\ outcomes}
- Experimental probability = \frac{Number\ of\ times\ event\ occurred}{Total\ trials}
- The Law of Large Numbers states that as the number of trials increases, the experimental probability tends to get closer to the theoretical probability.
3. **Calculate theoretical probability (a):**
- There are 10 digits (0 to 9), each equally likely if fair.
- Probability of 0 or 5 = Probability(0) + Probability(5) = \frac{1}{10} + \frac{1}{10} = \frac{2}{10} = 0.2
4. **Calculate experimental probability (b):**
- Number of times 0 appeared = 20
- Number of times 5 appeared = 25
- Total trials = 200
- Experimental probability = \frac{20 + 25}{200} = \frac{45}{200}
Show cancellation:
$$\frac{45}{200} = \frac{\cancel{5}9}{\cancel{5}40} = \frac{9}{40} = 0.225$$
5. **Answer part (c):**
- The true statement is: "The larger the number of trials, the greater the likelihood that the experimental probability will be close to the theoretical probability."
**Final answers:**
(a) Theoretical probability = 0.200
(b) Experimental probability = 0.225
(c) The larger the number of trials, the greater the likelihood that the experimental probability will be close to the theoretical probability.
Lottery Probability B6Ca98
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