1. **Problem statement:**
Find the probability that exactly two dark chocolates are selected from a sequence of three chocolates drawn without replacement.
2. **Understanding the problem:**
We have a total of 25 chocolates: 10 dark (D) and 15 white (W).
We select 3 chocolates one after another without replacement.
3. **Event definition:**
Let’s define the event "exactly two dark chocolates are selected".
4. **Approach:**
We want the probability of selecting exactly two dark chocolates in three draws. This can happen in three ways:
- D, D, W
- D, W, D
- W, D, D
5. **Calculate each sequence probability:**
- For D, D, W:
$$P(D_1) = \frac{10}{25}$$
$$P(D_2|D_1) = \frac{9}{24}$$
$$P(W_3|D_1,D_2) = \frac{15}{23}$$
So,
$$P(D,D,W) = \frac{10}{25} \times \frac{9}{24} \times \frac{15}{23}$$
- For D, W, D:
$$P(D_1) = \frac{10}{25}$$
$$P(W_2|D_1) = \frac{15}{24}$$
$$P(D_3|D_1,W_2) = \frac{9}{23}$$
So,
$$P(D,W,D) = \frac{10}{25} \times \frac{15}{24} \times \frac{9}{23}$$
- For W, D, D:
$$P(W_1) = \frac{15}{25}$$
$$P(D_2|W_1) = \frac{10}{24}$$
$$P(D_3|W_1,D_2) = \frac{9}{23}$$
So,
$$P(W,D,D) = \frac{15}{25} \times \frac{10}{24} \times \frac{9}{23}$$
6. **Sum the probabilities:**
$$P(\text{exactly two dark}) = P(D,D,W) + P(D,W,D) + P(W,D,D)$$
Calculate each term:
$$P(D,D,W) = \frac{10 \times 9 \times 15}{25 \times 24 \times 23} = \frac{1350}{13800} = \frac{9}{92}$$
$$P(D,W,D) = \frac{10 \times 15 \times 9}{25 \times 24 \times 23} = \frac{1350}{13800} = \frac{9}{92}$$
$$P(W,D,D) = \frac{15 \times 10 \times 9}{25 \times 24 \times 23} = \frac{1350}{13800} = \frac{9}{92}$$
Sum:
$$P = \frac{9}{92} + \frac{9}{92} + \frac{9}{92} = \frac{27}{92}$$
**Final answer:**
$$\boxed{\frac{27}{92}}$$
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1. **Problem statement:**
Given event A: first chocolate selected is white.
Given event B: exactly two dark chocolates are selected.
Find the conditional probability $$P(A|B)$$.
2. **Recall conditional probability formula:**
$$P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}$$
3. **Calculate $$P(B)$$:**
From previous calculation,
$$P(B) = \frac{27}{92}$$
4. **Calculate $$P(A \cap B)$$:**
Event A and B means first chocolate is white and exactly two dark chocolates are selected.
From the sequences for exactly two dark chocolates, only the sequence W, D, D satisfies A.
So,
$$P(A \cap B) = P(W,D,D) = \frac{15}{25} \times \frac{10}{24} \times \frac{9}{23} = \frac{1350}{13800} = \frac{9}{92}$$
5. **Calculate $$P(A|B)$$:**
$$P(A|B) = \frac{\frac{9}{92}}{\frac{27}{92}} = \frac{9}{92} \times \frac{92}{27} = \frac{9}{27} = \frac{1}{3}$$
**Final answer:**
$$\boxed{\frac{1}{3}}$$
Probability Dark C2761A
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