1. The problem involves calculating the probability that Chloe wins a game where draws are made from a set of candies including 1 Fruit Chew and 4 chocolates.
2. The first event is Chloe winning on her first draw. Since there is 1 Fruit Chew and 4 chocolates, the probability is $$\frac{1}{5}$$.
3. The second event described is Clark drawing a chocolate on his first or second draw, and then Chloe winning on her second draw. The explanation says: "There are 3 chocolates left, so 3 out of 4 remaining outcomes, then 1 out of 3 remaining outcomes."
4. The calculation given is $$\frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{3}$$ for this event.
5. The total probability is then summed as $$\frac{1}{5} + \left(\frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{3}\right) = \frac{4}{15} + \frac{1}{12} = \frac{9}{60} + \frac{5}{60} = \frac{14}{60} = \frac{7}{30}$$.
6. The error starts in step 3: the probability of Clark drawing a chocolate on his first or second draw is not simply $$\frac{3}{4}$$. The problem incorrectly assumes the number of chocolates left and the total remaining candies without considering the sequence of draws and the changing composition of the candies.
7. The probability calculation for Clark's draws should consider the conditional probabilities for each draw and the changing total number of candies after each draw.
8. Therefore, the step that started misleading is the assumption that Clark's probability of drawing chocolate is $$\frac{3}{4}$$ without accounting for the actual sequence and changing candy counts.
9. The final conclusion that Chloe has a $$\frac{7}{30}$$ or $$\frac{7}{15}$$ chance is incorrect because the second term in the sum is miscalculated.
10. Correct probability calculations require careful enumeration of all possible sequences and their probabilities, not just multiplying simplified fractions without context.
Probability Error B6Ba87
Step-by-step solutions with LaTeX - clean, fast, and student-friendly.