1. **State the problem:**
We have two bags:
- Bag A: 7 blue, 4 red, 1 yellow discs (total 12 discs).
- Bag B: 3 blue, 6 red discs (total 9 discs).
A disc is drawn at random from Bag A and placed into Bag B.
Then a disc is drawn at random from Bag B.
We want to find the probability that the disc drawn from Bag B is red.
2. **Formula and approach:**
We use the law of total probability considering the color of the disc transferred from Bag A to Bag B.
Let $R_B$ be the event "disc drawn from Bag B is red".
Then:
$$P(R_B) = P(R_B|\text{blue transferred})P(\text{blue transferred}) + P(R_B|\text{red transferred})P(\text{red transferred}) + P(R_B|\text{yellow transferred})P(\text{yellow transferred})$$
3. **Calculate probabilities of transferring each color from Bag A:**
- $P(\text{blue transferred}) = \frac{7}{12}$
- $P(\text{red transferred}) = \frac{4}{12} = \frac{1}{3}$
- $P(\text{yellow transferred}) = \frac{1}{12}$
4. **Calculate $P(R_B|\text{color transferred})$ for each case:**
- If blue transferred, Bag B has 4 blue, 6 red discs (total 10). So:
$$P(R_B|\text{blue transferred}) = \frac{6}{10} = \frac{3}{5}$$
- If red transferred, Bag B has 3 blue, 7 red discs (total 10). So:
$$P(R_B|\text{red transferred}) = \frac{7}{10}$$
- If yellow transferred, Bag B has 3 blue, 6 red, 1 yellow discs (total 10). So:
$$P(R_B|\text{yellow transferred}) = \frac{6}{10} = \frac{3}{5}$$
5. **Calculate total probability:**
$$P(R_B) = \frac{7}{12} \times \frac{3}{5} + \frac{4}{12} \times \frac{7}{10} + \frac{1}{12} \times \frac{3}{5}$$
6. **Simplify each term:**
$$\frac{7}{12} \times \frac{3}{5} = \frac{21}{60}$$
$$\frac{4}{12} \times \frac{7}{10} = \frac{28}{120} = \frac{14}{60}$$
$$\frac{1}{12} \times \frac{3}{5} = \frac{3}{60}$$
7. **Sum all terms:**
$$P(R_B) = \frac{21}{60} + \frac{14}{60} + \frac{3}{60} = \frac{38}{60}$$
8. **Simplify fraction:**
$$\frac{38}{60} = \frac{\cancel{2} \times 19}{\cancel{2} \times 30} = \frac{19}{30}$$
**Final answer:**
$$\boxed{\frac{19}{30}}$$
This means the probability that the disc drawn from Bag B is red after the transfer is $\frac{19}{30}$.
Probability Red Disc 62B298
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