1. The problem asks to find the probability $P(B)$ using the tree diagram.
2. According to the problem, $P(B) = P(M \cap B) + P(N \cap B)$.
3. From the tree diagram:
- $P(M) = 0.7$, $P(N) = 0.3$.
- Given $M$, $P(B|M) = 0.4$.
- Given $N$, $P(B|N) = 0.5$.
4. Use the multiplication rule for joint probabilities:
$$P(M \cap B) = P(M) \times P(B|M) = 0.7 \times 0.4 = 0.28$$
$$P(N \cap B) = P(N) \times P(B|N) = 0.3 \times 0.5 = 0.15$$
5. Add these to find $P(B)$:
$$P(B) = 0.28 + 0.15 = 0.43$$
6. Therefore, the probability $P(B)$ is 0.43.
Probability Tree F16229
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