1. **Problem Statement:**
You roll a fair die $n=115$ times. Each roll is a success if the top side shows a 6, failure otherwise. Let $X$ be the number of successes (6s).
2. **Distribution of $X$:**
$X$ follows a Binomial distribution with parameters $n=115$ and $p=\frac{1}{6} \approx 0.1666666667$ because the probability of rolling a 6 on a fair die is $\frac{1}{6}$.
3. **Mean and Standard Deviation of $X$:**
The mean of a Binomial is $\mu = np$.
The standard deviation is $\sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)}$.
Calculate:
$$\mu = 115 \times 0.1666666667 = 19.1666666705$$
$$\sigma = \sqrt{115 \times 0.1666666667 \times (1 - 0.1666666667)} = \sqrt{115 \times 0.1666666667 \times 0.8333333333}$$
$$= \sqrt{15.97222222} = 3.996525$$
4. **Distribution of the sample proportion $\hat{p}$:**
The sample proportion $\hat{p} = \frac{X}{n}$.
By the Central Limit Theorem, for large $n$, $\hat{p}$ is approximately Normal with mean and standard deviation:
$$\mu_{\hat{p}} = p = 0.1666666667$$
$$\sigma_{\hat{p}} = \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.1666666667 \times 0.8333333333}{115}} = \sqrt{0.0012077922} = 0.034758$$
5. **Probability that $\hat{p}$ is between 13% and 22%:**
Convert percentages to decimals: 0.13 and 0.22.
Standardize these values to $Z$-scores:
$$Z_1 = \frac{0.13 - 0.1666666667}{0.034758} = \frac{-0.0366666667}{0.034758} = -1.0545$$
$$Z_2 = \frac{0.22 - 0.1666666667}{0.034758} = \frac{0.0533333333}{0.034758} = 1.5340$$
Using standard Normal distribution tables or a calculator:
$$P(Z < 1.5340) = 0.9373$$
$$P(Z < -1.0545) = 0.1461$$
Therefore,
$$P(0.13 < \hat{p} < 0.22) = 0.9373 - 0.1461 = 0.7912$$
6. **Probability that $\hat{p} \geq 0.2261$ (observed proportion):**
Calculate $Z$-score for $\hat{p} = 0.2261$:
$$Z = \frac{0.2261 - 0.1666666667}{0.034758} = \frac{0.0594333333}{0.034758} = 1.7100$$
Find $P(Z \geq 1.7100)$:
$$P(Z \geq 1.7100) = 1 - P(Z < 1.7100) = 1 - 0.9564 = 0.0436$$
**Final answers:**
(a) Mean $= 19.1666666705$, Standard deviation $= 3.996525$
(b) Distribution of $\hat{p}$ is approximately Normal with mean $\mu_{\hat{p}} = 0.1666666667$ and standard deviation $\sigma_{\hat{p}} = 0.034758$
(c) Probability $P(0.13 < \hat{p} < 0.22) = 0.7912$
(d) Probability $P(\hat{p} \geq 0.2261) = 0.0436$
Binomial Proportion 26D6C3
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