1. **Problem Statement:**
We are given data about systolic and diastolic blood pressure for non-smoking females aged 18-35 and asked to use the empirical rule to fill in values and estimate counts. Then, we analyze a sample about high blood pressure in Irish people over 50.
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### Part (a)(i): Fill in missing numbers on the horizontal axis for systolic pressure
2. The empirical rule states that for a normal distribution:
- About 68% of data lies within $\pm 1\sigma$ of the mean
- About 95% lies within $\pm 2\sigma$
- About 99.7% lies within $\pm 3\sigma$
3. Given mean $\mu = 120$ and standard deviation $\sigma = 5$ for systolic pressure.
4. Calculate the values at $-2\sigma$, $-\sigma$, $\sigma$, and $2\sigma$:
$$-2\sigma = 120 - 2 \times 5 = 120 - 10 = 110$$
$$-\sigma = 120 - 5 = 115$$
$$\sigma = 120 + 5 = 125$$
$$2\sigma = 120 + 10 = 130$$
5. The missing numbers are:
- At $-2\sigma$: 110
- At $-\sigma$: 115 (given)
- At $\sigma$: 125
- At $2\sigma$: 130
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### Part (a)(iii): Estimate number of females with systolic pressure $\geq 125$ mmHg
6. $125$ mmHg corresponds to $\mu + \sigma$.
7. By the empirical rule, about 68% lie between $115$ and $125$ (within $\pm 1\sigma$), so 32% lie outside this range.
8. Since the normal distribution is symmetric, half of 32% = 16% lie above $125$ mmHg.
9. Number of females with systolic pressure $\geq 125$:
$$1600 \times 0.16 = 256$$
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### Part (a)(iv): Estimate number of females with diastolic pressure $\leq 56$ mmHg
10. Given mean $\mu = 68$ and standard deviation $\sigma = 6$ for diastolic pressure.
11. Calculate how many standard deviations $56$ is below the mean:
$$z = \frac{56 - 68}{6} = \frac{-12}{6} = -2$$
12. By the empirical rule, about 2.5% of data lies below $\mu - 2\sigma$.
13. Number of females with diastolic pressure $\leq 56$:
$$1600 \times 0.025 = 40$$
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### Part (a)(v): Estimate number of females with diastolic pressure between 62 and 80 mmHg
14. Calculate $z$-scores for 62 and 80:
$$z_{62} = \frac{62 - 68}{6} = -1$$
$$z_{80} = \frac{80 - 68}{6} = 2$$
15. By the empirical rule:
- About 68% lie within $\pm 1\sigma$ (62 to 74)
- About 95% lie within $\pm 2\sigma$ (56 to 80)
16. We want between 62 and 80, which is from $-1\sigma$ to $+2\sigma$.
17. The area between $-1\sigma$ and $+2\sigma$ is:
$$P(-1 < Z < 2) = P(Z < 2) - P(Z < -1)$$
18. Using empirical rule approximations:
- $P(Z < 2) \approx 0.975$
- $P(Z < -1) \approx 0.16$
19. So,
$$0.975 - 0.16 = 0.815$$
20. Number of females:
$$1600 \times 0.815 = 1304$$
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### Part (b)(i): Margin of error for population proportion
21. Given sample size $n=625$, confidence level 95%, and population proportion $p=0.64$.
22. Margin of error formula:
$$ME = z^* \times \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}}$$
23. For 95% confidence, $z^* = 1.96$.
24. Calculate:
$$ME = 1.96 \times \sqrt{\frac{0.64 \times 0.36}{625}} = 1.96 \times \sqrt{\frac{0.2304}{625}} = 1.96 \times \sqrt{0.00036864} = 1.96 \times 0.0192 = 0.0376$$
25. Margin of error is approximately 3.76%, rounded to 4%.
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### Part (b)(ii): Percentage of sample with high blood pressure
26. Number with high blood pressure = 385 out of 625.
27. Percentage:
$$\frac{385}{625} \times 100 = 61.6\%$$
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### Part (b)(iii): 95% confidence interval for true proportion
28. Sample proportion:
$$\hat{p} = \frac{385}{625} = 0.616$$
29. Margin of error from (b)(i) is 0.04.
30. Confidence interval:
$$0.616 \pm 0.04 = (0.576, 0.656)$$
31. As percentages:
$$57.6\% \text{ to } 65.6\%$$
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### Part (b)(iv): Hypothesis test at 5% significance level
32. Null hypothesis $H_0$: $p = 0.64$ (the cardiologist's claim)
33. Alternative hypothesis $H_1$: $p \neq 0.64$ (claim is not true)
34. Test statistic:
$$z = \frac{\hat{p} - p_0}{\sqrt{\frac{p_0(1-p_0)}{n}}} = \frac{0.616 - 0.64}{\sqrt{\frac{0.64 \times 0.36}{625}}} = \frac{-0.024}{0.0192} = -1.25$$
35. Critical z-values for 5% significance (two-tailed) are $\pm 1.96$.
36. Since $-1.96 < -1.25 < 1.96$, we fail to reject $H_0$.
37. **Conclusion:** There is not enough evidence to reject the cardiologist's claim at the 5% significance level.
38. **Reason:** The sample proportion is within the margin of error expected if the true proportion is 64%.
Blood Pressure Analysis 9692B9
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