1. **State the problem:**
We want to test if the new organic fertilizer increases the mean height of flowering plants compared to the historical mean height of untreated plants, which is 18.5 cm.
2. **Formulate hypotheses:**
- Parameter of interest: population mean height $\mu$ of plants treated with the fertilizer.
- Null hypothesis $H_0$: $\mu = 18.5$ cm (fertilizer has no effect).
- Alternative hypothesis $H_a$: $\mu > 18.5$ cm (fertilizer increases height).
3. **Identify the suitable test:**
- Sample size $n=15$ is small (less than 30).
- Population standard deviation unknown; sample standard deviation $s=2.8$ cm used.
- Data are continuous and assumed approximately normal.
- Therefore, a one-sample one-tailed t-test is appropriate.
4. **Carry out the test at 5% significance level:**
- Sample mean $\bar{x} = 20.1$ cm.
- Historical mean $\mu_0 = 18.5$ cm.
- Sample standard deviation $s=2.8$ cm.
- Sample size $n=15$.
Calculate the test statistic:
$$
t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s/\sqrt{n}} = \frac{20.1 - 18.5}{2.8/\sqrt{15}} = \frac{1.6}{2.8/3.873} = \frac{1.6}{0.722} \approx 2.216
$$
Degrees of freedom: $df = n-1 = 14$.
Critical t-value for one-tailed test at $\alpha=0.05$ and $df=14$ is approximately $1.761$.
Since $t=2.216 > 1.761$, we reject the null hypothesis.
5. **Statistical decision:**
There is sufficient evidence at the 5% significance level to conclude that the fertilizer increases the mean height of plants.
6. **Interpretation for farmers:**
The test shows that plants treated with the new fertilizer tend to grow taller than untreated plants. This suggests the fertilizer is effective in improving plant height.
7. **Assumption and its importance:**
- Assumption: The plant heights are approximately normally distributed.
- If this assumption is violated (e.g., data are heavily skewed), the t-test results may be invalid, leading to incorrect conclusions and possibly recommending a fertilizer that does not truly improve plant height.
Fertilizer Effect 49938F
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