1. **State the problem:** Given data points $x = \{1,2,3,4,5,6\}$ and $y = \{5.6,4.6,4.5,3.7,3.2,2.7\}$, we need to find sums of squares and cross-products ($S_{xx}$, $S_{yy}$, $S_{xy}$), the least-squares regression line, predict $y$ at $x=3.5$, and construct the ANOVA table.
2. **Calculate sums:**
Calculate $\sum x$, $\sum y$, $\sum x^2$, $\sum y^2$, and $\sum xy$:
$$\sum x = 1+2+3+4+5+6 = 21$$
$$\sum y = 5.6+4.6+4.5+3.7+3.2+2.7 = 24.3$$
$$\sum x^2 = 1^2+2^2+3^2+4^2+5^2+6^2 = 91$$
$$\sum y^2 = 5.6^2+4.6^2+4.5^2+3.7^2+3.2^2+2.7^2 = 108.03$$
$$\sum xy = (1)(5.6)+(2)(4.6)+(3)(4.5)+(4)(3.7)+(5)(3.2)+(6)(2.7) = 75.1$$
3. **Calculate sums of squares:**
$$S_{xx} = \sum x^2 - \frac{(\sum x)^2}{n} = 91 - \frac{21^2}{6} = 91 - 73.5 = 17.5$$
$$S_{yy} = \sum y^2 - \frac{(\sum y)^2}{n} = 108.03 - \frac{24.3^2}{6} = 108.03 - 98.48 = 9.55$$
$$S_{xy} = \sum xy - \frac{(\sum x)(\sum y)}{n} = 75.1 - \frac{21 \times 24.3}{6} = 75.1 - 85.05 = -9.95$$
4. **Calculate regression coefficients:**
$$b = \frac{S_{xy}}{S_{xx}} = \frac{-9.95}{17.5} = -0.5686$$
$$\bar{x} = \frac{\sum x}{n} = \frac{21}{6} = 3.5$$
$$\bar{y} = \frac{\sum y}{n} = \frac{24.3}{6} = 4.05$$
$$a = \bar{y} - b \bar{x} = 4.05 - (-0.5686)(3.5) = 4.05 + 1.99 = 6.04$$
So the least-squares line is:
$$\hat{y} = 6.04 - 0.5686x$$
5. **Calculate SSR, SSE, and Total SS:**
$$SSR = \frac{S_{xy}^2}{S_{xx}} = \frac{(-9.95)^2}{17.5} = \frac{99.00}{17.5} = 5.66$$
$$SSE = S_{yy} - SSR = 9.55 - 5.66 = 3.89$$
$$\text{Total SS} = S_{yy} = 9.55$$
6. **Predict $y$ at $x=3.5$:**
$$\hat{y} = 6.04 - 0.5686 \times 3.5 = 6.04 - 1.99 = 4.05$$
7. **Construct ANOVA table:**
| Source | df | SS | MS | F |
|-------------|-----|------|----------|------------|
| Regression | 1 | 5.66 | 5.66 | $\frac{5.66}{\frac{3.89}{4}} = 5.82$ |
| Error | 4 | 3.89 | 0.9725 | |
| Total | 5 | 9.55 | | |
**Summary:**
- $S_{xx} = 17.5$
- $S_{yy} = 9.55$
- $S_{xy} = -9.95$
- Regression line: $\hat{y} = 6.04 - 0.5686x$
- Predicted $y$ at $x=3.5$ is $4.05$
- ANOVA F-statistic is approximately $5.82$ indicating the regression is significant at typical levels.
Linear Regression 846C6C
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