1. **Problem Statement:**
We have a contingency table showing proportions of loan types (Fixed Rate (FR) and Adjustable Rate (ADJ)) and loan purposes (Home (H), Automobile (A), Personal (P)):
| Loan Type | H | A | P |
|-----------|------|------|------|
| FR | 0.27 | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| ADJ | 0.13 | 0.09 | 0.18 |
We want to find:
a. The probability that a randomly selected person has an automobile loan and it is fixed rate.
b. Given the person has an adjustable rate loan, the probability that it is for a home.
c. Given the person does not have a personal loan, the probability it is an adjustable rate.
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2. **Formulas and Rules:**
- Joint probability: $P(A \cap B)$ is the probability both events A and B occur.
- Conditional probability: $P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}$.
- Complement rule: $P(\text{not } C) = 1 - P(C)$.
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3. **Calculations:**
**a. Probability of automobile loan and fixed rate:**
This is the joint probability $P(\text{A and FR})$ from the table:
$$P(\text{A and FR}) = 0.19$$
**b. Probability of home loan given adjustable rate:**
First, find total probability of adjustable rate loans:
$$P(\text{ADJ}) = 0.13 + 0.09 + 0.18 = 0.40$$
Then, find joint probability of home and adjustable rate:
$$P(\text{H and ADJ}) = 0.13$$
Conditional probability:
$$P(\text{H} | \text{ADJ}) = \frac{P(\text{H and ADJ})}{P(\text{ADJ})} = \frac{0.13}{0.40} = 0.325$$
**c. Probability of adjustable rate given not personal loan:**
First, find total probability of personal loans:
$$P(\text{P}) = 0.14 + 0.18 = 0.32$$
Probability of not personal loan:
$$P(\text{not P}) = 1 - 0.32 = 0.68$$
Find probability of adjustable rate and not personal loan (home or automobile):
$$P(\text{ADJ and not P}) = P(\text{ADJ and H}) + P(\text{ADJ and A}) = 0.13 + 0.09 = 0.22$$
Conditional probability:
$$P(\text{ADJ} | \text{not P}) = \frac{P(\text{ADJ and not P})}{P(\text{not P})} = \frac{0.22}{0.68} \approx 0.3235$$
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**Final answers:**
- a. $0.19$
- b. $0.325$
- c. $0.3235$
Loan Probabilities 22433A
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