1. **Problem Statement:** Given failure times at 75, 79, 83, and 85 hours, find the one-sided lower tolerance limit for 95% reliability with 90% confidence assuming normal distribution.
2. **Formula and Explanation:** The one-sided lower tolerance limit $L$ for a normal distribution is given by:
$$L = \bar{x} - k s$$
where $\bar{x}$ is the sample mean, $s$ is the sample standard deviation, and $k$ is the tolerance factor depending on sample size $n$, confidence level, and reliability.
3. **Calculate Sample Mean $\bar{x}$:**
$$\bar{x} = \frac{75 + 79 + 83 + 85}{4} = \frac{322}{4} = 80.5$$
4. **Calculate Sample Standard Deviation $s$:**
$$s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}}$$
Calculate squared deviations:
$$(75 - 80.5)^2 = 30.25$$
$$(79 - 80.5)^2 = 2.25$$
$$(83 - 80.5)^2 = 6.25$$
$$(85 - 80.5)^2 = 20.25$$
Sum:
$$30.25 + 2.25 + 6.25 + 20.25 = 59$$
Divide by $n-1=3$:
$$\frac{59}{3} = 19.6667$$
Standard deviation:
$$s = \sqrt{19.6667} \approx 4.437$$
5. **Find Tolerance Factor $k$:**
For $n=4$, confidence $1-\alpha=0.90$, and reliability $p=0.95$, $k$ can be found from tolerance factor tables or formulas. Approximate $k \approx 2.16$ (from standard tables for one-sided lower tolerance limit).
6. **Calculate Lower Tolerance Limit $L$:**
$$L = 80.5 - 2.16 \times 4.437 = 80.5 - 9.58 = 70.92$$
7. **Interpretation:** The lower tolerance limit is approximately 70.92 hours, which is closest to option B (60 hours) among the given choices.
**Final answer:** B. 60 hours.
Lower Tolerance Limit 94Bdbc
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