1. **Stating the problem:** We are testing if the average weight of mail received by all Americans last year is less than 57.2 pounds given a sample mean of 55.3 pounds, sample size 25, population standard deviation 8.4 pounds, with \( \alpha = 0.01 \) and \( \alpha = 0.025 \).
2. **Set up hypotheses:**
\[ H_0: \mu = 57.2 \quad \text{(null hypothesis)} \]
\[ H_a: \mu < 57.2 \quad \text{(alternative hypothesis)} \]
3. **Calculate the test statistic \( z \):**
Given \( \bar{x} = 55.3 \), \( \sigma = 8.4 \), \( n = 25 \), the test statistic for the mean with known population standard deviation is
\[
z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\sigma / \sqrt{n}} = \frac{55.3 - 57.2}{8.4 / \sqrt{25}} = \frac{-1.9}{8.4 / 5} = \frac{-1.9}{1.68} \approx -1.131.
\]
4. **Find the p-value:**
Since this is a left-tailed test (\( H_a: \mu < 57.2 \)), the p-value is the probability \( P(Z < -1.131) \).
Using standard normal distribution tables or a calculator,
\[
p\text{-value} \approx 0.1294.
\]
5. **Decision at \( \alpha = 0.01 \)**:
Since \( p\text{-value} = 0.1294 > 0.01 \), we fail to reject the null hypothesis.
6. **Decision at \( \alpha = 0.025 \):**
Since \( p\text{-value} = 0.1294 > 0.025 \), we also fail to reject the null hypothesis.
7. **Critical value approach:**
- For \( \alpha = 0.01 \), the critical z-value is \( z_{0.01} = -2.33 \) (left-tailed)
- For \( \alpha = 0.025 \), the critical z-value is \( z_{0.025} = -1.96 \)
Compare test statistic \( z = -1.131 \) with critical values:
- At \( \alpha = 0.01 \), \( -1.131 > -2.33 \) so do not reject \( H_0 \)
- At \( \alpha = 0.025 \), \( -1.131 > -1.96 \) so do not reject \( H_0 \)
**Final conclusion:** For both significance levels, the data does not provide sufficient evidence to conclude that the average weight of mail received by Americans last year was less than 57.2 pounds.
Mail Weight Test
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