1. **Problem Statement:** We have wait times at a coffee shop that follow a normal distribution with mean $\mu=8$ minutes and standard deviation $\sigma=2$ minutes. We want to explain the key properties of the normal distribution and calculate the Z-score and probability that the wait time exceeds 10 minutes.
2. **Key Properties of the Normal Distribution:**
- The distribution is symmetric around the mean $\mu$.
- About 68% of values lie within one standard deviation ($\mu \pm \sigma$).
- About 95% lie within two standard deviations ($\mu \pm 2\sigma$).
- About 99.7% lie within three standard deviations ($\mu \pm 3\sigma$).
**Practical Benefit:** This helps predict typical wait times and prepare for rare long waits. For example, most waits will be between 6 and 10 minutes (8 $\pm$ 2), so you can expect a short wait usually but be ready for occasional longer waits.
3. **Formula for Z-score:**
$$Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}$$
where $X$ is the observed value.
4. **Calculate Z-score for $X=10$ minutes:**
$$Z = \frac{10 - 8}{2} = \frac{2}{2} = 1$$
5. **Find Probability $P(X > 10)$:**
- Using the standard normal table, $P(Z < 1) = 0.8413$ (area to the left).
- So, $P(Z > 1) = 1 - 0.8413 = 0.1587$.
**Interpretation:** There is about a 15.87% chance the wait time exceeds 10 minutes on any given day.
This analysis helps you understand and anticipate wait times using the normal distribution and Z-scores.
Normal Distribution 4Ece7D
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