1. **State the problem:** We want to test if the mean length of novels written by the club members is greater than 50,000 words at a significance level $\alpha = 0.10$.
2. **Set hypotheses:**
- Null hypothesis $H_0$: $\mu = 50000$ (mean length is 50,000 words)
- Alternative hypothesis $H_a$: $\mu > 50000$ (mean length is greater than 50,000 words)
3. **Data given:**
Lengths: 48972, 50100, 51560, 49800, 50020, 49900, 52193
Sample size $n=7$.
4. **Calculate sample mean $\bar{x}$:**
$$\bar{x} = \frac{48972 + 50100 + 51560 + 49800 + 50020 + 49900 + 52193}{7} = \frac{352545}{7} = 50363.57$$
5. **Calculate sample standard deviation $s$:**
First find squared deviations:
$(48972 - 50363.57)^2 = 193,927,716.5$
$(50100 - 50363.57)^2 = 6,995,306.5$
$(51560 - 50363.57)^2 = 144,388,306.5$
$(49800 - 50363.57)^2 = 31,995,306.5$
$(50020 - 50363.57)^2 = 11,877,306.5$
$(49900 - 50363.57)^2 = 21,995,306.5$
$(52193 - 50363.57)^2 = 33,195,306.5$
Sum of squared deviations $= 444,374,556$
Sample variance $s^2 = \frac{444,374,556}{7-1} = 74,062,426$
Sample standard deviation $s = \sqrt{74,062,426} = 8603.07$
6. **Calculate test statistic $t$:**
$$t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s/\sqrt{n}} = \frac{50363.57 - 50000}{8603.07/\sqrt{7}} = \frac{363.57}{3252.68} = 0.112$$
7. **Determine critical value:**
Degrees of freedom $df = n-1 = 6$.
At $\alpha=0.10$ for a one-tailed test, critical $t_{0.10,6} = 1.440$ (from t-distribution table).
8. **Decision:**
Since $t = 0.112 < 1.440$, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.
9. **Conclusion:**
There is insufficient evidence at the 0.10 significance level to conclude that the mean length of novels is greater than 50,000 words.
Novel Word Count 03D3Ed
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