1. **State the problem:** We have weights of oranges normally distributed with mean $\mu=297$ g. Given that 79% weigh more than 289 g and 9.5% weigh more than 310 g, find the probability an orange weighs between 289 g and 310 g.
2. **Identify known values and notation:** Let $X$ be the weight of an orange, $X \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2)$ with mean $\mu=297$ g and unknown standard deviation $\sigma$. We know:
- $P(X > 289) = 0.79$
- $P(X > 310) = 0.095$
3. **Convert to standard normal variable $Z$:**
$$Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}$$
Then:
$$P(X > 289) = P\left(Z > \frac{289 - 297}{\sigma}\right) = 0.79$$
$$P(X > 310) = P\left(Z > \frac{310 - 297}{\sigma}\right) = 0.095$$
4. **Find corresponding $Z$-scores from standard normal table:**
- Since $P(Z > z_1) = 0.79$, then $P(Z \leq z_1) = 1 - 0.79 = 0.21$. From the standard normal table, $z_1 \approx -0.81$ (because 0.21 is left tail).
- Since $P(Z > z_2) = 0.095$, then $P(Z \leq z_2) = 1 - 0.095 = 0.905$. From the table, $z_2 \approx 1.31$.
5. **Set up equations for $\sigma$:**
$$\frac{289 - 297}{\sigma} = z_1 = -0.81$$
$$\frac{310 - 297}{\sigma} = z_2 = 1.31$$
6. **Solve for $\sigma$ from each equation:**
$$\sigma = \frac{289 - 297}{-0.81} = \frac{-8}{-0.81} = 9.88$$
$$\sigma = \frac{310 - 297}{1.31} = \frac{13}{1.31} = 9.92$$
7. **Average $\sigma$ values for accuracy:**
$$\sigma \approx \frac{9.88 + 9.92}{2} = 9.90$$
8. **Find the probability that $X$ is between 289 g and 310 g:**
$$P(289 < X < 310) = P\left(\frac{289 - 297}{9.90} < Z < \frac{310 - 297}{9.90}\right) = P(-0.81 < Z < 1.31)$$
9. **Calculate this probability using standard normal CDF $\Phi$:**
$$P(-0.81 < Z < 1.31) = \Phi(1.31) - \Phi(-0.81)$$
From tables:
$$\Phi(1.31) = 0.905$$
$$\Phi(-0.81) = 1 - \Phi(0.81) = 1 - 0.791 = 0.209$$
10. **Final probability:**
$$P(289 < X < 310) = 0.905 - 0.209 = 0.696$$
\boxed{\text{The probability that an orange weighs between 289 g and 310 g is approximately } 0.696}
Orange Weight Probability 75B563
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