1. **State the problem:** We want to test if the population proportion of households loyal to brand W cloth washing liquid is greater than 48% based on a sample of 100 households where 50 claimed loyalty.
2. **Set hypotheses:**
- Null hypothesis $H_0$: $p \leq 0.48$
- Alternative hypothesis $H_a$: $p > 0.48$
3. **Significance level:** $\alpha = 0.01$
4. **Sample data:**
- Sample size $n = 100$
- Number of successes $x = 50$
- Sample proportion $\hat{p} = \frac{50}{100} = 0.5$
5. **Test statistic formula for proportion:**
$$ z = \frac{\hat{p} - p_0}{\sqrt{\frac{p_0(1-p_0)}{n}}} $$
where $p_0 = 0.48$ is the hypothesized population proportion.
6. **Calculate standard error:**
$$ SE = \sqrt{\frac{0.48 \times (1-0.48)}{100}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.48 \times 0.52}{100}} = \sqrt{0.002496} \approx 0.04996 $$
7. **Calculate test statistic:**
$$ z = \frac{0.5 - 0.48}{0.04996} = \frac{0.02}{0.04996} \approx 0.4003 $$
8. **Decision rule:**
- Find critical value $z_{\alpha}$ for $\alpha=0.01$ in a one-tailed test.
- $z_{0.01} = 2.33$ (from standard normal table)
9. **Compare test statistic with critical value:**
- Since $0.4003 < 2.33$, we fail to reject $H_0$.
10. **Conclusion:**
- There is insufficient evidence at the 1% significance level to conclude that the population proportion of households loyal to brand W cloth washing liquid is greater than 48%.
Proportion Test 2C419E
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