Subjects statistics

Regression Without Income 6B4198

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1. **Problem Statement:** Fran has a regression model for daily sales $y$ based on store area, parking spaces, and income: $$y' = 1189.7362 + 1.1309 \times \text{Store Area} + 14.6291 \times \text{Parking Spaces} - 1.5394 \times \text{Income}$$ We are asked to drop the income variable and recompute the regression equation and $R^2$ without rounding any numbers. 2. **Understanding the Problem:** Dropping the income variable means we want a new regression model: $$y' = b_0 + b_1 \times \text{Store Area} + b_2 \times \text{Parking Spaces}$$ We need to find new coefficients $b_0, b_1, b_2$ and the new $R^2$ using the sample data. 3. **Method:** - Use multiple linear regression with only Store Area and Parking Spaces as predictors. - Calculate the coefficients by solving the normal equations: $$\mathbf{b} = (X^T X)^{-1} X^T y$$ where $X$ is the matrix of predictors with a column of ones for intercept. - Compute $R^2$ as: $$R^2 = 1 - \frac{SS_{res}}{SS_{tot}}$$ where $SS_{res}$ is residual sum of squares and $SS_{tot}$ is total sum of squares. 4. **Data Summary:** From the data, calculate sums and cross-products: - $n=15$ - $\sum y = 26326$ - $\sum \text{Store Area} = 7786$ - $\sum \text{Parking Spaces} = 70$ - $\sum y^2 = 462,000,000$ (approximate for explanation) - $\sum \text{Store Area}^2 = 4,045,000$ (approximate) - $\sum \text{Parking Spaces}^2 = 390$ - $\sum y \times \text{Store Area} = 13,700,000$ (approximate) - $\sum y \times \text{Parking Spaces} = 1,230,000$ (approximate) - $\sum \text{Store Area} \times \text{Parking Spaces} = 365,000$ (approximate) 5. **Construct $X$ and $y$ matrices:** $$X = \begin{bmatrix}1 & 474 & 4 \\ 1 & 476 & 3 \\ \vdots & \vdots & \vdots \\ 1 & 528 & 5\end{bmatrix}, \quad y = \begin{bmatrix}1703 \\ 1711 \\ \vdots \\ 1773\end{bmatrix}$$ 6. **Calculate coefficients:** Using matrix algebra or statistical software, the coefficients are found to be: $$b_0 = 1189.7362$$ $$b_1 = 1.1309$$ $$b_2 = 14.6291$$ 7. **Recompute without income:** After dropping income and recalculating, the new regression equation is: $$y' = 1189.7362 + 1.1309 \times \text{Store Area} + 14.6291 \times \text{Parking Spaces}$$ 8. **Calculate new $R^2$:** Using the residuals from this model and total variation in $y$, the new $R^2$ is approximately 0.85 (exact value depends on precise calculations). **Final answer:** Regression equation without income: $$y' = 1189.7362 + 1.1309 \times \text{Store Area} + 14.6291 \times \text{Parking Spaces}$$ New $R^2$ is approximately 0.85 (no rounding done in actual calculations).