1. **Problem Statement:**
Test if $x$ is necessary in predicting $y$ using the given data.
2. **Hypothesis:**
- Null hypothesis $H_0$: $x$ is not necessary (slope $\beta_1 = 0$).
- Alternative hypothesis $H_a$: $x$ is necessary (slope $\beta_1 \neq 0$).
3. **Key Formulas:**
- Regression line: $y = a + bx$
- Total Sum of Squares (SST): $\sum (y_i - \bar{y})^2$
- Regression Sum of Squares (SSR): $\sum (\hat{y}_i - \bar{y})^2$
- Error Sum of Squares (SSE): $\sum (y_i - \hat{y}_i)^2$
- Coefficient of determination: $R^2 = \frac{SSR}{SST}$
- F-ratio: $F = \frac{MSR}{MSE} = \frac{SSR/1}{SSE/(n-2)}$
4. **Simplified Steps:**
- Calculate means $\bar{x}$ and $\bar{y}$.
- Compute slope $b = \frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}$.
- Compute intercept $a = \bar{y} - b\bar{x}$.
- Calculate predicted values $\hat{y}_i = a + bx_i$.
- Calculate SSR, SSE, SST using formulas above.
- Calculate $R^2$.
- Calculate F-ratio.
5. **Decision Rule:**
- Compare calculated $F$ with critical $F$ at $\alpha=0.05$ and degrees of freedom 1 and $n-2$.
- If $F$ is greater, reject $H_0$; otherwise, do not reject.
6. **Summary:**
This simplified approach focuses on key calculations to test the significance of $x$ in predicting $y$.
Simple Regression Test 813213
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